Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 2.341397e-05 2.819666e-05 0.000033 0.000039 0.000046 0.000054 0.000062
2025-06-08 1.699147e-05 2.307009e-05 0.000030 0.000039 0.000050 0.000062 0.000077
2025-06-15 1.267104e-05 1.924278e-05 0.000028 0.000039 0.000052 0.000069 0.000090
2025-06-22 9.264834e-06 1.576522e-05 0.000025 0.000037 0.000053 0.000074 0.000100
2025-06-29 6.638051e-06 1.273824e-05 0.000022 0.000035 0.000053 0.000076 0.000108
2025-07-06 4.654142e-06 1.017671e-05 0.000019 0.000032 0.000052 0.000078 0.000114
2025-07-13 3.509812e-06 8.678676e-06 0.000017 0.000032 0.000053 0.000082 0.000123
2025-07-20 2.683858e-06 7.520007e-06 0.000016 0.000031 0.000054 0.000086 0.000132
2025-07-27 2.179022e-06 6.842616e-06 0.000016 0.000032 0.000057 0.000092 0.000144
2025-08-03 2.043380e-06 6.915156e-06 0.000017 0.000034 0.000062 0.000103 0.000162
2025-08-10 1.604841e-06 6.167214e-06 0.000016 0.000034 0.000064 0.000108 0.000173
2025-08-17 1.068352e-06 4.958560e-06 0.000014 0.000032 0.000062 0.000107 0.000176
2025-08-24 6.419831e-07 3.901953e-06 0.000012 0.000030 0.000062 0.000111 0.000186
2025-08-31 4.078210e-07 3.261165e-06 0.000012 0.000030 0.000064 0.000117 0.000201
2025-09-07 2.388766e-07 2.670636e-06 0.000011 0.000030 0.000065 0.000123 0.000215
2025-09-14 1.139594e-07 2.047443e-06 0.000009 0.000028 0.000065 0.000126 0.000226
2025-09-21 4.163269e-08 1.488871e-06 0.000008 0.000026 0.000064 0.000128 0.000234
2025-09-28 9.776078e-09 1.032319e-06 0.000007 0.000024 0.000062 0.000128 0.000240
2025-10-05 1.950213e-09 7.910797e-07 0.000006 0.000024 0.000063 0.000133 0.000252
2025-10-12 1.470445e-10 6.143754e-07 0.000006 0.000023 0.000064 0.000138 0.000265
2025-10-19 7.835812e-13 5.191573e-07 0.000006 0.000024 0.000067 0.000145 0.000283
2025-10-26 1.869808e-15 5.391308e-07 0.000006 0.000026 0.000073 0.000160 0.000312
2025-11-02 NaN 4.302744e-07 0.000006 0.000026 0.000075 0.000166 0.000328